The Barbados-based Caribbean Local weather Outlook Discussion board says north Atlantic temperatures ought to stay properly above common, persevering with to gas unusually sturdy tropical cyclone exercise.
In its newest Caribbean Local weather Outlooks on Monday, the company mentioned that for the interval October to December this yr, there can be amplified warmth stress via October with increased temperatures, humidity, and heatwave frequency.
It mentioned that this can gas a record-breaking Caribbean warmth season.
The company mentioned that there can even be elevated bathe depth in the course of the peak of the moist season, resulting in a excessive potential for flooding and cascading hazards.
“Nonetheless, a average to sturdy El Niño within the Pacific ought to dampen rainfall frequency in Belize and the southern Caribbean, the place drought issues come up. Warmth and drought are a rising concern within the coastal Guianas, as is flood potential via December,” it added.
It mentioned as of September, extreme or worse short-term drought has developed in Grand Cayman, French Guiana, northern Guyana, jap Suriname, Tobago, and the US Virgin Islands.
Lengthy-term drought to the top of November is evolving in western Belize, Dominica, southern French Guiana, Martinique, southeast Puerto Rico, St Vincent, Trinidad and Tobago, and would possibly presumably develop or proceed in Aruba, Bonnaire and Curacao, Barbados, French Guiana, Grenada, St Lucia, and Sint Maarten/St-Martin.
The company mentioned short-term drought to the top of December, is evolving in central and southern French Guiana, Suriname, Trinidad, and would possibly presumably develop in Dominica, Guyana, Martinique, St Lucia, St Vincent, and northern French Guiana.