The Barbados-based Caribbean Local weather Outlook Discussion board (CariCOF) is forecasting a waning El Niño occasion within the Pacific and near-record heat Tropical North Atlantic temperatures for the three month interval from March to Might this 12 months.
El Niño is a local weather sample that describes the bizarre warming of floor waters within the japanese tropical Pacific Ocean.
It’s the “heat part” of a bigger phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).
CariCOF in its newest Caribbean Local weather Outlooks publication mentioned subsequently the area is ready to transition right into a a lot hotter than common warmth season with recurrent heatwaves as early as April.
“March should still be characterised by excessive evaporation charges and an annual peak within the frequency of brief dry spells, in addition to additional buildup of any ongoing drought and/or with growing wildfire potential within the far northwest and within the southeast.
“Against this, from April to Might, rainfall depth and bathe frequency are prone to sharply rise, leading to excessive to extraordinarily excessive potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards, and related impacts in most locations, besides the ABC (Aruba, Bonnaire, and Curacao) Islands,” CariCOF added.
It mentioned that as of February 1 this 12 months, long-term drought has developed in Antigua, Dominica, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, St Kitts, Suriname northern Belize, Jap Cuba, northern Guyana, Haiti, Trinidad & Tobago and the Windward Islands.
As well as, long-term drought on the finish of Might 2024 is evolving in southwest Belize, Grand Cayman, inland parts of French Guiana, northeastern and inland parts of Guyana, southwest Puerto Rico, Suriname northern Suriname, and would possibly probably develop or proceed in northern Belize, Central Cuba, Dominica, coastal French Guiana, northern Guyana, Tobago.
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