BRIDGETOWN, Barbados, CMC – The Barbados-based Caribbean Local weather Outlook Discussion board (CariCOF) is forecasting a waning El Niño occasion within the Pacific and near-record heat Tropical North Atlantic temperatures for the three-month interval from March to Might this yr.
El Niño is a local weather sample that describes the bizarre warming of floor waters within the japanese tropical Pacific Ocean. It’s the “heat section” of a extra important phenomenon referred to as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).
CariCOF, in its newest Caribbean Local weather Outlook publication, stated. Subsequently, the area is about to transition right into a a lot hotter than regular warmth season with recurrent heatwaves as early as April.
“March should still be characterised by excessive evaporation charges and an annual peak within the frequency of quick dry spells, in addition to the additional buildup of any ongoing drought and growing wildfire potential within the far northwest and the southeast.
“Against this, from April to Might, rainfall depth and bathe frequency are more likely to rise sharply, leading to a excessive to extraordinarily excessive potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards, and related impacts in most locations, besides the ABC (Aruba, Bonnaire, and Curacao) Islands,” CariCOF added.
It stated that as of February 1 this yr, long-term drought has developed in Antigua, Dominica, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, St. Kitts, Suriname, northern Belize, Jap Cuba, northern Guyana, Haiti, Trinidad & Tobago, and the Windward Islands.
As well as, long-term drought on the finish of Might 2024 is evolving in southwest Belize, Grand Cayman, inland parts of French Guiana, northeastern and inland parts of Guyana, southwest Puerto Rico, Suriname, northern Suriname, and may develop or proceed within the north of Belize, Central Cuba, Dominica, coastal French Guiana, northern Guyana, Tobago.
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