BRIDGETOWN, Barbados, CMC – The Barbados-based Caribbean Local weather Outlook (CariCOF) says the superb season will function extra comfy temperatures and humidity over the following three months.
It stated that December to February subsequent 12 months additionally marks the early dry season within the Caribbean Islands and Belize and the lengthy dry season within the far inside of the Guianas, with fewer moist days and spells of heavy showers by February.
“There’s a concern for average drought in areas with ongoing rainfall deficits, and quick dry spells ought to change into extra frequent, notably in northwest Belize,” KT stated, nonetheless, noting that “the potential for flooding and cascading hazards will likely be primarily average by way of December, however excessive in mountainous areas.
“Within the coastal Guianas, the secondary moist season could find yourself drier than typical, however flood potential stays excessive by way of January,” CariCOF within the newest publication of its “Outlook” bulletin.
It stated that as of November 1 this 12 months, extreme (or worse) short-term drought has developed in Belize, French Guiana, Guyana, and Suriname. Lengthy-term drought has set in jap Cuba, Grenada, Saint Vincent, and Tobago.
On the finish of February subsequent 12 months, short-term drought is evolving in northern Belize, southern French Guiana, Grenada, western Puerto Rico, north of and central Suriname. It’d proceed in lots of different areas throughout the Caribbean.
CariCOF stated the new tropical North Atlantic Ocean and this 12 months’s El Niño are anticipated to final, which means unusually excessive air temperatures will most probably prevail in lots of areas by way of Might 2024, notably at evening.
“Thankfully, these unusually excessive temperatures shouldn’t pose important warmth stress till March, after which the Caribbean warmth season is anticipated to get off to an intense begin in April and Might, with warmth stress on the rise.
“The danger of extreme climate impacts, together with flooding, flash floods, and cascading hazards, must be low in February and March however could sharply rise in April. Nevertheless, an actual likelihood exists that the height of the dry season will likely be unusually intense, leading to rising drought considerations, notably in Belize and the Guianas,” CariCOF added.
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